Elephant Ears

This blog is dedicated to the political happenings in the Valley and Southwest Virginia. As the the name implies, this blog will have posts based on what is heard by this elephant's (GOPer's) ears. It is also a great treat to get while at the county fair or a carnival.

Tuesday, October 31, 2006

John Kerry's Statement

I am sure you have all heard John Kerry told some children today that they better learn or they will be fighting in Iraq.

I just wonder what everyone thinks this will do to the election. Since all but one competitive Senate race are in red states (New Jersey isn't), I have to think an ad run by NRSC with this comment with the caption "do you want this man in charge of anything? If not, vote Republican" would be very effective; especially with these races being so close.

Just wondering if anyone thinks this will have an effect.

10 Comments:

  • At 10/31/2006 9:17 PM, Blogger zen said…

    John Kerry is irrelevant. It seems the GOP just enjoys beating up on him. But the attacks on Kerry look incredibly desperate for a party losing control.
    Kerry did not say, "they will be fighting in Iraq." He said "stuck" in Iraq. And it was obvious when taken his statement in context, that he screwed up a jab at Bush, and did not in any way intend to take a swipe at the military. To misconstrue what was said is transparently desperate.
    If this has any impact it will be negative for the republicans.

     
  • At 10/31/2006 9:33 PM, Blogger GOPHokie said…

    Yea, as if nothing GOPs say are ever taken out of context or misconstrued.

     
  • At 11/01/2006 3:00 PM, Anonymous brimur said…

    GOPHokie- I appreciate your focus in this. You seem to recognize that the attack on Kerry is a little disingenuous, rather you are asking the academic question of whether it will have a political effect.

    I would bet against it having an effect. Maybe, maybe at the margins. Thing is though that there weren't a lot of Republicans switching to vote for Dems anyway so there is not vote there for Dems to lose. And I doubt independents' grave reservations about the state Iraq is in will be trumped by any individual comment from a non-candidate political figure (whether it be Bush, Kerry, or Clinton) at this point.

    What do you think?

     
  • At 11/01/2006 3:02 PM, Anonymous brimur said…

    I say at the margins because it drive a bit more turnout on the GOP side. But really I can't even see that, cause anyone driven by that was prob. voting anyway.

     
  • At 11/01/2006 3:40 PM, Blogger GOPHokie said…

    Im not sure brimur. You make a good point that its likely that the people this statement would offend the most are probably voting anyway.
    I still think in a race like Conrad Burns, where the overall electorate is super Republican; a picture of John Kerry standing beside John Tester and then this video could make a good ad.
    Even so, with Tester Cardin and Ford calling for an apology by Kerry; someone must think its bad for them.

     
  • At 11/01/2006 4:45 PM, Anonymous brimur said…

    It is bad in the way political things are bad in the last few days of a campaign. If you can reinforce a wrong impression, voters don't have time to re-evaluate for truthfulness.

    I just don't think this thing is sticking like the white house wants it to. But I may be very wrong there. You make an excellent point about Tester. There's still the question of whether or not this will be given enough weight to overcome even Republican voters' predispositions developed over the course of the last 2-3 months. I'm apt to think it's not big enough for that. I think for something to effect an election within the last couple days it would need to be something incredibly damning. Most likely something about the candidate him/herself.

    But I think Tester may be an interesting exception because Burns has shown a little momentum the last few weeks indicating voters may be re-opened to him and this may have an incremental effect of pushing some more back over to him. Maybe.

    Otherwise, I think Ford lost this thing the moment the race issue came into it. I've seen too many racist campaigns work to be hopeful. So his comments don't mean anything, he's doing everything he can. And Cardin is just crazy.

     
  • At 11/01/2006 7:37 PM, Blogger GOPHokie said…

    I agree that I dont think Kerry's statement will have wide usage possibilities; but I do think his statement could be used in a couple of races like Montana and Missouri (and maybe even Virginia).

     
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