GOP Majorities Safe?
Their mentality is that since 1972, 93% of House incumbents who outspent their opponents by more than $200,000 have won. Their numbers for Senate races aren't as concrete, but history says incumbents who spend more win.
This is interesting b/c it allowed Barrons to predict the GOP gains in 2002 and 2004 that many did not see coming.
Last week I told you Karl Rove was optomistic about the midterms, and I said it was probably b/c of the $55 million cash advantage the GOP has. This Barrons article is using the exact same formula as the GOP strategists.
I know for a fact that the RNC is using this formula, so time will tell if this will work.