Total Disconnect From Reality
Over at Brian Patton, they have an analysis of the new Mason-Dixon poll on the Va Governor's race.
The results show that Kilgore is at 41% and Kaine is at 40%.
The previos poll showed Kaine 38% and Kilgore at 37%.
Brian's analysis says: "This poll confirms that not only has Kaine been gaining on Kilgore, but he has absolutely pulled even with him".
I thought the M-D poll is the only reputable poll.
Would someone explain to me the logic in his statement? How does Kaine go from leading to trailing, but be gaining on Kilgore?
I guess when we win on election night we will have actually lost.
The results show that Kilgore is at 41% and Kaine is at 40%.
The previos poll showed Kaine 38% and Kilgore at 37%.
Brian's analysis says: "This poll confirms that not only has Kaine been gaining on Kilgore, but he has absolutely pulled even with him".
I thought the M-D poll is the only reputable poll.
Would someone explain to me the logic in his statement? How does Kaine go from leading to trailing, but be gaining on Kilgore?
I guess when we win on election night we will have actually lost.
posted by GOPHokie @ 12:42 PM
6 Comments:
At 9/18/2005 6:18 PM,
Anonymous said…
GOPHokie,
Apparently you have not noticed all of the other polls (at least 10) that have been taken in this race.
I think you will find that Kaine has been down in all of them, including this latest, with the one exception of the first M-D Poll.
If you look at all the polls, not just the M-D ones, you will find a steady gain by Kaine.
Now if you are suggesting that M-D is the only company you believe in polls, that is fine, but that does not change the fact that others have been made. Not to mention the fact that ALL of those other have been well in favor of your candidate.
Thanks for the mention on your blog.
At 9/18/2005 6:50 PM,
Megan said…
Why do you protect your stats so we can't see them?
At 9/19/2005 10:50 AM,
GOPHokie said…
Brian, I apologize for not knowing your particular stance, but all the dems were saying MD was the only reputable poll.
I believe in all polls equally, in fact I give more creedence to Rasmussen (which does have Kilgore losing ground).
But based on your post, all you mentioned was the M-D poll.
You should have pointed out the others as well.
At 9/19/2005 10:50 AM,
GOPHokie said…
Republitarian, I may post my stats at a later time, I dunno yet.
At 9/21/2005 3:46 PM,
Anonymous said…
i want kaine to win desperately, but i will concede that we have very short memories in VA. therfore, we will get the government we deserve, hope you enjoy it...
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