Elephant Ears

This blog is dedicated to the political happenings in the Valley and Southwest Virginia. As the the name implies, this blog will have posts based on what is heard by this elephant's (GOPer's) ears. It is also a great treat to get while at the county fair or a carnival.

Thursday, March 16, 2006

McDonnell in Roanoke

Yesterday evening Bob McDonnell was in Roanoke for a "thank you" dinner as part of his tour of western Virginia. It was well attended as the room was at overflow capacity. He spoke about how things are going so far as AG and also pointed out his legislative successes this year (getting 20 of his 21 bills passed). There was also a discussion about the bill that wasn't passed on eminent domain. Bob assured the group that our law would be fixed eventually (maybe in the special session) but that all the sticking points had still not been ironed out.

No one publicly asked him about his ambitions for 2009, but a few in attendance could be heard privately giving their support for his impending gubentorial campaign.
In 2009 it will be interesting who the Roanoke area supports. Many would think Bolling b/c he seems to play better in rural areas, but Roanoke is a suburban area in the middle of rural Virginia. That may play into McDonnell's favor as we near '09.

5 Comments:

  • At 3/16/2006 4:23 PM, Blogger spankthatdonkey said…

    I think that NRA endorsement is pretty important in the Valley. Take the city of Staunton, Deeds beat McDonnell, Kaine beat Kilgore, but Bolling beat Byrne. Same voters big differnce in outcome.

    Deeds was "hometown", but it also helped immeasurably to have the NRA endorsement.

     
  • At 3/16/2006 5:45 PM, Blogger Not John Behan said…

    Stop talking about 2009, ... Please! :)

     
  • At 3/16/2006 6:19 PM, Blogger GOPHokie said…

    Kilgore got the NRA endorsement as well so that doesn't really explain it.
    I think you are right the NRA makes a difference, especially in a Republican primary in the Valley.
    If you remember, they did not make an endorsement in our AG primary this year.
    The likely nomination process in '09 will be convention though. NRA doesnt carry as much weight there.
    NJB, we always need to keep an eye on the future.

     
  • At 3/16/2006 11:24 PM, Blogger J.Sarge said…

    Interesting! GOP Hokie, why do you think a convention is likely? On the one hand, two Governor-hopefuls wouldn't have to slug it out publicly (and expensively). Also, the conservatives wouldn't have to worry about a 3rd moderate sweeping in from under them. On the other hand, convenions can be just as nasty (see Earley and Hager) and are expensive in their own right. Also, given that the top slot will be filled with a pretty conservative candidate either way, a primary might shake loose a more moderate lower ticket candidate (Devolites-Davis?) that could help the party that otherwise would go to a more conservative Republican.

    Thoughts?

     
  • At 3/17/2006 3:18 PM, Blogger GOPHokie said…

    Essentially what I think will begin to happen is Bolling and McDonnell will start getting their supporters on state central (which determines covention or primary) and then come early 2009 whichever way they see as their best chance at the nod they will go with.
    If someone like Davis or Connaughton were to run as well Bolling and McDonnell would want a convention to more easily beat them (and then jockey for their suporters on the 2nd ballot).
    The entire party could be changed by 2009 though b/c the '07 elections will have a major bearing on the party direction come '09.

     

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