Kilgore's 3 largest donors were the RGA ($2.87 million), RPV ($1.64 million), and RNC ($886,000); with all but $352,000 coming in the late stages of the campaign to fund TV ads and mail. This means only 4% of his funds came from the major party committees in the early going; while the rest came from major donors, PACs and individuals.
Compare that to McDonnell who has already received $1.98 million from RGA and $1.5 million from RNC. This represents 32% of all receipts.
One of the reasons for this is the lack of major donors so far in this campaign. For example, Philip Wendel gave $193,500 to Kilgore through this period; while he has given $20,000 to McDonnell.
Alpha Natural Resources gave Kilgore $82,500 through 6/30 (they also gave Kaine $10,000); while they have given McDonnell $5,000 (and Deeds $11,000) so far.
In fact, the only major donor that has matched their previous performance is Walter Curt at $100,000 in both 2005 & 2009.
Another problem is the fundraisers. Kilgore had a fundraiser at Dwight Schar's McLean residence with President Bush that raised $3 million. Bob McDonnell will not have that luxury, but Creigh Deeds will get the opposite in the form of a joint fundraiser of President Obama and DNC Chair Kaine. In addition, Deeds will get the fundraising ability of Senators Warner and Webb as well as the 3 very powerful congressmen in the VA democratic delegation, compared to Kilgore having John Warner, George Allen, as well as 8 GOP Congressmen (most of which in high ranking positions). The only high-profile person Bob will have is Eric Cantor.
Everyone agrees contributions will be tougher to come by with the economic climate the way it is. Additionally, money will likely pour in from all over the country as the various party loyalists try to launch a "re-emergence" by winning the VA and NJ governor's races. Even so, with the current fundraising ability of the democrats; I fear McDonnell could lose the money war if he cannot raise from individuals and PACs and relies entirely on out-of-state money.
And as I have said before: When the Republicans lose the money war, they lose the election...