The Potts Factor
What effect will he have on this election?
Here's my opinion: Every vote Potts gets up to 5% will be votes from Kilgore. If he gets 5-10%, the votes will be evenly split between the 2 candidates. If Potts breaks above 10%, I think he starts pulling Kaine votes 2-1.
My rationale on this is that if he only gets 5%, it probably going to be mostly Winchester, Frederick and Clarke voters who know him personally and like him. That obviously is bad news for us. If he gets beyond that area, he will be getting Kaine voters because of his issue stances.
If he gets major traction in this race (above 10-15%) that will be the death blow to Tim Kaine. I guess there is the remote possibility he wins the race, but I'd say those odds are too far long-shot for right now.
What do you folks think? What do you all see Potts getting here in the valley and statewide? What effect do you all think the valley candidate will have on this race?