George Allen Leads
Another key to this election is the congressional races. The most competitive race seems to be the 2nd district Thelma Drake race. Keep in mind, this area has a heavy military presense; so a Webb candidacy could help boost Phil Kellam's numbers. To compound the problem, Drake is from Norfolk and 2/3 of the district is Virginia Beach (Kellam is from the Beach).
Also, congressmen like Tom Davis and Frank Wolf seem remotely vunerable due to the poor GOP showing in NOVA in 2005. I do not see these races as threatened as Drake's.
Our friend Bill Carrico is running against Rick Boucher here in the 9th and needs high George Allen turnout. The only conceivable way for him to win is to capture most of George Allen's votes. Don't forget, in 2004 Bush got 59% in the 9th and Boucher got 60%. Allen is likely to have numbers around Bush's, so Carrico needs to carry more of those than Triplett did.
Just remember folks, there is more riding on this race than just a Senate seat.